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Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Prediction: Barack Obama Will Win Iowa Caucus

Everyone knows I have a ton of relatives in Iowa and spent some time there in September. Hillary Clinton may think she's poised to win but I predict an upset by the Illinois Senator for several reasons. One, he's from a neighboring state (and when there is a significant candidate from a mid-western state they usually win Iowa), two Oprah is boosting Barack big time and she's huge in middle class places like Iowa, three, Antonio Villaraigosa is doing no favors for the New York Senator in his appearances there and four, a last minute slime campaign on Barack's religious affiliation - the United Church of Christ - is going to backfire. The theologically liberal but stylistically conservative mainline protestant denomination has a deep history and lots of members in Iowa.

On the Republican side its neck and neck between Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney, with an edge to Huckabee.

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69 Comments:

Blogger Red Spot in CD 14 said:

This from the Evans-Novak Report.

Democrats: This is a three-way contest among Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.), Sen. Hillary Clinton (N.Y.), and former Sen. John Edwards (N.C.). It's possible that there are only three survivors out of Iowa for the Democrats and that the second-tier candidates will be gone by New Hampshire.

The similarities between Obama 2008 and Howard Dean in 2004 are real and could show themselves Thursday night. Obama is the new, fresh face in the race with youthful, enthusiastic, and idealistic supporters. For Dean, that same formula translated into caucus-day bust. Will the same happen to Obama?


Obama leads in most polls, and significantly in some. His negatives are much lower than Clinton's, and his positives are higher than Edwards'. He has as much money as Clinton and the edge in enthusiasm. However, his campaign team in Iowa is the least experienced of the top three. He could flame out like Dean, but all considered, he has to be viewed as the favorite.


Hillary's organization may be the strongest, but her negatives are the highest. Her hardball tactics against Obama will hurt her. For the Democrats, who have a viability threshold of at least 15% in each precinct, second choice matters, and that is where Hillary's negatives will hurt her. She doesn't appear to be the second choice for very many voters at all.


Edwards has run in Iowa before and done well. His second-place finish in 2004, however, was in a weaker Democratic field. His negatives are low, however, and many polls have shown him as the most popular second choice among supporters of the second-tier candidates. In polls, he is right on Hillary's heels, and it is likely he will pass her in the caucuses.


The second-tier candidates -- Sen. Joe Biden (Del.), Sen. Chris Dodd (Conn.), and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson -- will struggle to reach the 15% viability threshold in many districts, with the top three garnering 85% among them in most areas. Of the three second-tier Democrats, Richardson has the best chance of even registering in the final results.


The Democratic field looks to shake out this way:


1st Place: Barack Obama
2nd Place: John Edwards
3rd Place: Hillary Clinton
4th Place: Bill Richardson

January 02, 2008 1:24 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has widened his lead in Iowa over Hillary Clinton and John Edwards heading into Thursday's nominating caucuses, according to The Des Moines Register's final Iowa Poll before the 2008 nominating contests.

Obama was the choice of 32 percent of likely Democratic caucusgoers, up from 28 percent in the Register's last poll in late November, while Clinton, a New York senator, held steady at 25 percent and Edwards, a former North Carolina senator, was virtually unchanged at 24 percent.

Clinton remains the favorite of the party faithful, with support from a third of self-described Democrats. However, Obama is the clear choice of caucusgoers who affiliate with neither the Democrat or Republican parties, with roughly 40 percent of them backing him in the survey.

The support from non-Democrats is significant because a whopping 40 percent of those planning to attend described themselves as independent and another 5 percent as Republican. Only registered Democrats can participate in the caucuses, although rules allow participants to change their party registration on their way in to the caucuses.

January 02, 2008 1:49 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Oh shit Trujillo's about to be out of work

January 02, 2008 1:49 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Barack Obama if you are reading this be happy you do not have Tony Villaraigosa on your team. He is widely hated here in LA, especially by Latinos; imagine how much they hate him in Iowa?

January 02, 2008 1:51 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Big effing surprise. Half the people like hot dogs over hamburgers, but you don't see people making that prediction.

January 02, 2008 1:52 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Many of us Democrats here in LA have been leaned on and threatend by the the Tony machine to support Hilary. We are strong however. Viva Barack!

January 02, 2008 1:52 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

THIRD FLOOR SPIN CHAMBER preparing for the inevitable FRIEND OF BILLARY fall.

January 02, 2008 2:09 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

OLA!!!! Si Si Latinos all the way for Obama. More and more Latinas are with Obama because of the stupidity of Hillary thinking Antonio was going to help her with the vote. Hell NO!!!! The fact that Hillary said nothing about the affair Antonio had and confessed to cheating on his wife, breaking up his family, humilating all of them in the media and Hillary kept silent pissed off so many women they went with a man who has MORALS, INTEGRITY, INTELLIGENCE, LEADERSHIP, A VISION

Good for Eric Garcetti campaigning in Iowa for Obama.

January 02, 2008 2:14 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Mayor Sam, how does the Iowa Libertarian Party Caucus look? Will they be able to break a dozen attendees this year?

January 02, 2008 2:14 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Should Hillary Clinton have skipped Iowa?
By: Roger Simon
January 2, 2008 07:03 AM EST

AMES, Iowa — Should Hillary Clinton have skipped Iowa? If she loses the caucus here Thursday, will her campaign wish it had listened to the advice it got last May to take a hike on the Hawkeye state?

Back then, Clinton’s deputy campaign manager, Mike Henry, wrote a 1,500-word internal memo saying Iowa was not worth the effort.

“My recommendation is to pull completely out of Iowa and spend the money and Senator Clinton’s time on other states,” Henry wrote. “If she walks away from Iowa she will devalue Iowa — our consistently weakest state.”

Henry’s advice was never accepted.

January 02, 2008 2:27 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Hillary Clinton tapes appearance for Letterman tonight.

January 02, 2008 2:39 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

MICHAEL MOORE ON THE FENCE: 'I am not endorsing anyone at this point'

January 02, 2008 2:54 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

TEAM OBAMA!

xoxo

January 02, 2008 3:03 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Yeah for Obama in LA. he'll be at city hall and all of us will be there to support him.

January 02, 2008 3:16 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Despite the debunking of the Insight and Fox report earlier in 2007 that Obama attended a madrassa while growing up in Indonesia, there persists an underground campaign to spread the word that a man who has talked openly of his "personal relationship with Jesus Christ" is really a closet Muslim.

January 02, 2008 3:25 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Despite the debunking of the Insight and Fox report earlier in 2007 that Obama attended a madrassa while growing up in Indonesia, there persists an underground campaign to spread the word that a man who has talked openly of his "personal relationship with Jesus Christ" is really a closet Muslim.

January 02, 2008 3:25 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Richardson, Biden and Dodd supporters all break for Hillary: Their supporters tend to be establishment, "experience counts" Democrats.

Clinton wins.

January 02, 2008 3:27 PM  

Blogger Drinking with Tony said:

There will be 1,781 caucus's tomorrow night in Iowa, none will be serving alcohol. I won't be attending nor votin'.

January 02, 2008 3:44 PM  

Blogger Mayor Sam said:

Jack Hoff -

It depends on if tater tot casserole is served or not. Prediction is for 16 degrees F tomorrow night; any colder and forget it, they'll stay home to watch Star Trek:Enterprise on SciFi.

January 02, 2008 3:44 PM  

Blogger Mayor Sam said:

Also - there's an excellent gentlemen's club in Downtown Waterloo called Sapphires. I think we have the bouncer there on the look out for Tony V. If he's there before 10pm, we know Barack has won.

January 02, 2008 3:46 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Iowa Caucus Predictions: Romney, Obama Win; Clinton Third
by Robert Novak and Timothy P.
Iowa Caucuses
http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=24241

Here are our analyses of the races as they stand now and the most likely outcomes:

DEMOCRATS: This is a three-way contest among Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.), Sen. Hillary Clinton (N.Y.), and former Sen. John Edwards (N.C.). It's possible that there are only three survivors out of Iowa for the Democrats and that the second-tier candidates will be gone by New Hampshire.

Obama leads in most polls, and significantly in some. His negatives are much lower than Clinton's, and his positives are higher than Edwards'. He has as much money as Clinton and the edge in enthusiasm. However, his campaign team in Iowa is the least experienced of the top three. He could flame out like Dean, but all considered, he has to be viewed as the favorite.

Hillary's organization may be the strongest, but her negatives are the highest. Her hardball tactics against Obama will hurt her. For the Democrats, who have a viability threshold of at least 15% in each precinct, second choice matters, and that is where Hillary's negatives will hurt her. She doesn't appear to be the second choice for very many voters at all.

Edwards has run in Iowa before and done well. His second-place finish in 2004, however, was in a weaker Democratic field. His negatives are low, however, and many polls have shown him as the most popular second choice among supporters of the second-tier candidates. In polls, he is right on Hillary's heels, and it is likely he will pass her in the caucuses.

The second-tier candidates -- Sen. Joe Biden (Del.), Sen. Chris Dodd (Conn.), and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson -- will struggle to reach the 15% viability threshold in many districts, with the top three garnering 85% among them in most areas. Of the three second-tier Democrats, Richardson has the best chance of even registering in the final results.

The Democratic field looks to shake out this way:
1st Place: Barack Obama
2nd Place: John Edwards
3rd Place: Hillary Clinton
4th Place: Bill Richardson

January 02, 2008 3:50 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Are you suggesting we moved the CA primary to Feb in order to have some impact for a chance, and STILL by the time it gets here Villaraigosa's candidate won't even be in the running anymore?

If that's the case, don't worry about AV. He'll be on the Obama bandwagon before Hillary even get's her office in Iowa shut down.

January 02, 2008 3:55 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

LMAO!!!!

Tony's doing supermarkets!!! There is only a 3% latino population in Iowa and Tony's goin' to the supermarket to look for them! Illegal baggers...I'm sure!

And he's doin' universities!!!LOL!! Flunked the bar 4X and had a 1.4 GPA!!!!

Wouldn't you just love to have tons of video of Tony stumping and stupping in Iowa???? Wonder how he's gonna feel when he finds no one of his kind!!! Iowa ain't LA, Tony!!!

January 02, 2008 4:16 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

You all can sit and spin this any way you want, but get used to the idea.. your next President of the United States of America will be Hillary Clinton.

For the Democrats out there who think it's all about Obama, think again. Remember when everyone thought that Howard Dean would be the party's candidate? Remember when nobody thought that Bush would win a second term?

It's all about the money. Hillary's got the money and better yet, she's got Bill. There was a time when Bill Clinton threw his name in and nobody thought he would make it through the primary. Never underestimate the Clintons. They're brilliant people. Oprah doesn't mean jack in the political world and she's far too nice of a person to attack Hillary and that is what she would have to do to get the Oprah-watching sheep on board with this.

The Republicans this year? Forget about it. Nobody wants that much religion in their presidents. No way. Republicans won't vote for Republicans this year. Nobody wants to have a president with the last name of Huckabee either, much like they won't want the name Obama. People vote for some of the most stupid reasons in the world. Names, religions, male/female, etc.

If we were going on qualifications only, Kucinich and Edwards would be the two front runners.

Hillary in 08 and Obama in 16.

January 02, 2008 4:34 PM  

Blogger Drinking with Tony said:

The Clinton camp contested the Des Moines Register poll sampling methods, which included an unusually large 40 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers who described themselves as independents. I describe myself as an independent drinker. Ha!

January 02, 2008 4:57 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

It's all about the money. Hillary's got the money and better yet, she's got Bill.

THIS IS THE REASON LATINA WOMEN ARE WITH OBAMA. Any woman stupid enough like Hillary to stay with a man Bill, who got blow jobs from a hard up intern has to be an idiot! Do we want that type of idiot woman running the US? NO NO NO. Do we want a woman who didn't say a word about a campaign manager who cheated on his wife either? NO NO NO

Corina Ragoisa has more courage and guts then Hillary cause she stood up for her family. Thanks to blogs the word is spreading faster then newspapers.

January 02, 2008 5:06 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

.....YALE GOES FOR OBAMA
He may be locked in a three-way dead heat in the latest polls of Iowa Democrats, but with one day to go before the voting begins in the 2008 presidential primaries, Senator Barack Obama has the residential-college vote all but locked up. The Illinois Democrat was the top choice of 26.4 percent of undergraduates surveyed in a recent Yale Daily News poll, giving him more than twice the support of New York Senator Hillary Clinton LAW ’73 — the only Yale graduate in the field — who registered 12.1 percent.

With 42.3 percent of students saying they are still undecided, no other candidate even came close to matching that figure: the next-highest finisher was former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, who won 3.7 percent of the vote. Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd, who has represented the Nutmeg State since 1980, garnered just 0.2 percent support.

January 02, 2008 5:08 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Welcome to the real world where men cheat and women tolerate it. It's been that way forever. Most women are okay with it as long as the man leaves her alone.

Hillary and Bill had an "agreement", much like Corina and Antonio did.

Latina women don't make up enough of the voting population to put much stock into their votes. However, since Hispanics are such male-dominated societies, you'll see in the end. The same way Jews for Jews and blacks vote for blacks, women will come out for Hillary.

More importantly, you are forgetting that the rest of the country doesn't even know who Antonio Villaraigosa is, much less Corina. Not to mention that really small fact that only border states are "Latino Haters". Perhaps you meant to say that the Latinas in Los Angeles won't vote for Hillary.

January 02, 2008 5:13 PM  

Blogger Drinking with Tony said:

5:06 PM,
That sounds like a looking over your shoulders comment. Hillary's got the money. Over 100 million. That's a distint advantage for New Hampshire. But alot can happen in eleven months.

January 02, 2008 5:15 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

You know what they say about students: if you're not a lib when you're 20 you don;t have a heart, if you are one when you're 40, you don't have a brain.

So who cares what college students do or say, Yale or otherwise. And the Ivies are the most liberal. And who cares what some Iowa yokels think.

Hillary is getting the mainstream who make sense, incl. Richardson and Dodd (who speak Spanish and can help her with the affluent Latinos) and those who value experience more than living abroad a a kid as your foreign policy exp, what a joke. Probably true that the Hispanicss Tony is finding out there are the busboys and store clerks, but these guys can help her out a lot.

Meanwhile, I'm glad Tony is getting an education, on how much people in Iowa and elsewhere are against his formerly pro-illegals stance.

The tougher McCain is about enforcing the ICE laws and stopping illegal immigration, vs. emphasizing giving them a path to citizenship without the tough part, the more popular he's getting.

Fat, nice Oprah admits she's worn out from that one stump for Obama, and sure people went to see them as a free entertainment spectacle, but that's it.

As for this person always harping on how latinas are more for Obama than Tony: fine, but you're a joke for the rest of the country, some angry illiterate Hispanic women running after him with tortilla pans to get even.

January 02, 2008 5:20 PM  

Blogger Drinking with Tony said:

Let's put it in context, Iowa has a population of about 3 million and it is 92% white (and as Seinfeld would have said, "not that there's anything wrong about being white").

January 02, 2008 5:24 PM  

Blogger Drinking with Tony said:

5:20 PM said,
"As for this person always harping on how latinas are more for Obama than Tony: fine, but you're a joke for the rest of the country, some angry illiterate Hispanic women running after him with tortilla pans to get even."

LOL. Touche'. That was good! Our Mr. Anonymous is wonderfully primitive. He's a tired cliche'

January 02, 2008 5:36 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

The politicians must tread a fine line between appeasing anti-immigration sentiment and trying not to anger Hispanics, who make up the fastest-growing voter bloc in the nation. Gov. Janet Napolitano, a Democrat, signed the measure into law despite voicing concern that it was a business "death penalty."

A coalition of business groups filed suit to block the measure, arguing that it will be harmful to local businesses. A U.S. District Court threw out the challenge earlier this month, but a new suit has since been filed.

Lawyers opposed to the employer sanctions law say that it is unconstitutional and is open to abuse by people making malicious anonymous complaints. They warn that it will also make Arizona less competitive nationally.

"Arizona will get bypassed economically. We will be known as tough but stupid from an economic perspective," the Govenor said.

January 02, 2008 5:53 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

ABC&V

January 02, 2008 5:56 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Hillary is having an affair with a female campaign worker. This has been widely whispered around Iowa.

She didn't do herself any great favors.

January 02, 2008 5:58 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Lawyers representing illegal immigrants warn that it will also make Arizona less competitive nationally.

That means it most likely will NOT make Arizona less competitive nationally.

Unless of course you are a lawyer representing illegal immigrants.

Kudos Arizona!!

January 02, 2008 6:03 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

If anyone goes after her fir being gay it'd beckfire on them. Though a gay woman in Muslim countries wouldn't help a lot -- she's gotta keep it under wraps. As she has for years if the rumor's true. So it shouldn't be hard for her to keep it up. Flip side, maybe she's got some closet gay vote... Really negligible, since she's a mother/ wife/ soon to be in law and maybe grandmother. As long as there are no photos of her and some woman...

January 02, 2008 6:06 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

5:13: If my man were sleeping with a news slut I'd cut off his cojones or, better yet, catch them in the act before the press did and embarrass the shit out of him with the evidence. But Tony, Bill, Newsom, Rudy and the rest aren't my husbands, so it's not my business and I think the tortilla-wielding revenge brigade is just tiresome and yes, primitive.

They can actually help Tony: if that's his opposition...

From JFK and way before to now, pols have always felt they could get away with a double life. Only difference is, with the internet and cellphones and 24/7 news, they just can't get away with it.

I can separate public and private lives in my leaders -- the crap that a man who cheats on his wife will cheat on the public is crap.

If a guy or a woman aren't turned on by their partners anymore, and are downright miserable, move on.

There's no public benefit to being in a miserable relatonship that sucks out your energy. I know.

Wish I could dump my husband, but he won't go away. Takers, anyone?

January 02, 2008 6:44 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Hillary is having an affair with a female campaign worker. This has been widely whispered around Iowa.

She didn't do herself any great favors.

January 02, 2008 5:58 PM

She has been with her, as a 'companion", since she was in the White House. Hillary and she live(when Hillary can) in Arlington, VA. Her companion travels to many places you see Hillary. She is on one or more payrolls and has been for a number of years.

January 02, 2008 6:47 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Does anyone know which Presidential candidate likes high school football the most?

We need more high school football programs.

I want to vote for the President who is pro-life. And that means voting for the candidate who is pro-football.

Does anyone know what high school football team Mitt Romney played for?

Ditka...Da Bears...Ditka...DA Bears...Ditka...DitKA...DiTKA...DITKA

(CM flips back in council chair and papers fly in the air.)

January 02, 2008 7:48 PM  

Blogger L.A. Woman said:

What do you mean it doesn't matter if frying pan weilding, torilla munching latinas don't like Antonio anymore?? They're like half his base! There is only one way to win them and everyone else who doesn't like him anymore back into the fold and that is to produce actual results, tangible stuff fast. Might not be enough time though. Might not matter anyway. Because who would run against him? Who would have the balls?

Also something tells me this latest Presidential poll is way off. Obama winning Iowa? It just doesn't sound right. I think Hillary will clinch it though it becomes more apparent every day that her husband was the far better politician that is for damn sure.

January 02, 2008 8:46 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

matt predicted Hillary a long while back.

January 02, 2008 10:29 PM  

Blogger Mayor Sam said:

804 is an idiot. I said Sapphires is in Waterloo not Des Moines. And yes I've been there. All it takes to get in is to pay the $6 cover charge which also includes your choice of a tall boy.

I would assume at that rate even Matt and Mike could afford to get in.

(and if you don't know what a tall boy is, its a 24 ounce can of beer - I recommend the Bud Light and Clamato Chelada if your local store carries them)

January 02, 2008 10:59 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

I predict mayor sam will gain weight in 2008, most really fat people, have a "fat set-point" and it's very difficult to maintain a lower weight for obese people. The great majority of fat people gain back most of the lost weight, and some even get fatter.

I predict Huckabee will throw a "monkey wrench" in the primary elections for the republicans.

Amd Zuma Mutt will still be the monkek at city council mettings.


I wonder if Red Spot Burro was given any grammar books for Christmas?

January 02, 2008 11:29 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Send Sr. drinking with tony, back to Wally's blog. Wally is looking for a good menudo recipe.

This blog is not for whining about the gavachos and republicans.

January 02, 2008 11:32 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

That is a funny comment Don Quixote!! Welcome to this blog about the mechista mayor and corrupt mexican politicians like Reyes and Huizar.

January 02, 2008 11:34 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

nigga please!!!
Edwards will win !!!!!

You heard it here first

January 03, 2008 12:35 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Is 1235 Weezy Jefferson?

January 03, 2008 12:43 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Mayor Sam,

I think Obama is having a rally this Friday on the steps of City Hall.

Should someone tell them that its going to rain on their parades?

Heavy rain expected for Southern California
A storm moving into the area could bring the most precipitation since the 1990s. Ten inches is possible in the mountains.
By Paloma Esquivel
Los Angeles Times Staff Writer

11:19 AM PST, January 2, 2008

Four days of rain are expected to hit the Southland beginning tomorrow, with the brunt of the storm forecast for Saturday, when up to 10 inches of rain could fall in the mountains, forecasters said.

The weather system will barrel through Southern California in three waves -- moderate, strong and weaker -- that are expected to peak Thursday, Saturday and Sunday, respectively, said National Weather Service spokesman Bill Hoffer in Oxnard.

The storm could bring the most rain to Southern California since 2005, and possibly even since the 1990s, said Stan Wasowski, a weather service forecaster in San Diego.

"It's going to seem like a lot because we've gone a while without seeing much rain," he said.

The weather could lead to mudslides on fire-ravaged hillsides, forecasters said.

"The ground is dry, it can soak up quite a bit of water. But once we get into the rain on Saturday, that's when the problems could start because the ground is already wet," Wasowski said.

One to three inches of rain is expected to fall Saturday in the valleys and eight to 10 inches could drop in mountain areas in Los Angeles, San Bernardino and Riverside counties, Wasowski said.

Heavy rainfall is also expected in Orange County, where six to eight inches of rain could fall Saturday in the foothills.

Though the storm is shaping up to be one of the largest in several years, forecasters noted that things could change.

"It appears it could be that way, but we won't know until it actually hits," Hoffer said.

January 03, 2008 12:44 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Drinking With Tony,
Welcome to this blog we look forward to your intelligent and inspirational comments. You are one in a million in cyber-space. We look forward to your wisdom and knowledge, to be used as a guiding light as we enter the new year.

January 03, 2008 12:47 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

http://hk.youtube.com/watch?v=YcqqJ3MNx4A&feature=related

January 03, 2008 1:12 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Zuma Dogg,
Welcome to this blog we look forward to your intelligent and inspirational comments. You are one in a million in cyber-space. We look forward to your wisdom and knowledge, to be used as a guiding light as we enter the new year.

January 03, 2008 1:22 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

it becomes more apparent every day that her husband was the far better politician that is for damn sure.

When was it not apparent?

January 03, 2008 1:24 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

What are all of these out of work Clinton workers going to do now that Hillary's White House chances are basically over? I guess it was fun while it lasted. (Now go throw your Blackberry in a swimming pool.) Way to jump on the losing bandwagon, again. You sure know how to pick 'em. (Losers that is.) And the funny thing is Barack won't even be considering her for a VP slot. That ship has left the port. Maybe if Jack Weiss had campaigned for Clinton, too, she may have had a chance.

January 03, 2008 2:53 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

11:29 is just a mean spirited person. Mayor Sam pay no attention to the man/woman behind the curtain trying to m-m-manipulate people's thoughts and ideas It's all sour grapes.

January 03, 2008 5:04 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Is anyone taking bets AGAINST Obama/Huckabee as winners today in Iowa?

January 03, 2008 6:14 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Didn't Villaraigosa say he was going to focus on the issues of Los Angeles after the scandalous affair broke with Mirthala? Well, again looks like his words don't mean a thing. He's back in Iowa while we the taxpayers are paying for the Mayor of LA to campaign for Hillary. How much is all this costing us? air fare, security detail, staffers, etc.

"We've got to address the root causes of crime and we've got to address poverty in Los Angeles, and that's why I was in Iowa the last few days -- because I want a president that will invest in people again, that will strengthen the middle class and support communities like Watts and all across the city," Villaraigosa said yesterday at a news conference in Watts held to tout Los Angeles' reduction in homicides in 2007.

Villaraigosa left for Iowa immediately after the news conference and will be there at least through today, an aide said. He endorsed Clinton on May 30 and is one of her national campaign chairs.

January 03, 2008 7:09 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

7:09 am,

The mayor couldn't be here to respond, because he is in Iowa helping Clinton finish 3rd in Iowa...so to clarify:

Don't worry, the loser mayor will be back just in time to shift his time and energy (and money) to campaigning for the new cell phone tax. Then, it will be time for his re-election campaign; in between running the school district. But right after THAT...the mayor will be right with you.

January 03, 2008 7:31 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Go Obama Go!!!

Presidential candidate Barack Obama, no matter the results in Thursday's caucuses in Iowa, is already planning his California push for the state's Feb. 5 primary election.

Part of it includes a noon rally scheduled for this Friday at Los Angeles City Hall _ where Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa has been a prominent supporter of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Obama's event is being coordinated through his City Hall supporter, Council President Eric Garcetti.

No word from the Clinton camp on whether they are planning a similar event in the coming month _ although she is expected to have a highly visible presence in the state that has long supported her husband.

**Latest word is Obama himself will not be attending, but that backers of him will be appearing at the event.

January 03, 2008 8:04 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

How stupid is an Obama event without Obama! In Los Angeles?? What an insult.

January 03, 2008 8:23 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

if you check the IP address of 1.24 am post 'matt dowd', we can guarantee Matt Dowd was not at that location at that time.

January 03, 2008 10:14 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

8:23

About as stupid as a Antonio/Hillary event with Antonio and Hillary!!!

January 03, 2008 10:59 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Wynn=$107 today. Sorry to see that. I know someone was only trying to help by posting the tip at $117.

January 03, 2008 11:06 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Anyone can scramble their IP addresses. Haven't we covered this topic before?

This is not computer rocket science. Anybody can do it.

Just ask your kids.

January 03, 2008 3:32 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Here we are living in progressive Los Angeles, the second largest city in the United States and some of you are concerning yourselves with whether or not the mayor cheated? Worrying or gloating about the fact that Bill Clinton cheated? Calling Hillary a lesbian because she has a "companion"?

What a bunch of losers. It's 2008. You should at least get with the program enough to be equal to some hick town in Iowa.

Nobody cares about cheating husbands, cheating wives, gays or lesbians. That has nothing to do with running a country. Or a city or a state for that matter. Was it okay that Arnold did? I guess nobody cared. What about all the other Presidents, Senators, Assemblymen, Congressmen, Mayors and Governors?

And please don't give me that "trustworthy" shit. It's not about that. It's not about someone who cheats on their spouse will cheat their constituents. Truth be told, they will anyway.

You all act like this is a new phenomena.

I really like the way a strong woman freaks you out and makes you start calling her a lesbian. Those would be the same posters who hate Mexicans. They are the same people who call other people "fat". Fat butt Gloria Molina, fat Oprah, fat Mayor Sam, fat __________, fat ______.

We've got Zuma haters, fat haters, liberal voter haters, NIMBY haters, NC haters.. Damn the list goes on and on.

I think you're scared of something. And I think it's funny. I mean that you're scared, that is funny. Not the hating. That is over the top and boring.

January 03, 2008 3:46 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

we hate crybaby logic on this blog.

calling someone like Gloria Jeffs fat is waaaay more fun.

and much less offensive than some of the other terms.....

January 03, 2008 4:26 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

This crybaby likes the logic. Call Gloria Jeffs the names you believe she deserves that have to do with her competence, not her dress size.

January 03, 2008 4:31 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Gloria Molina is fat. Gloria Jeffs is fat. Monica is fat. Mayor Sam is fat. Hillary has gotten sort of fat. Bill has gotten less fat. Lots of people in Ioway are fat. Fat is fat.

No one is afraid of anything when they say fat is fat.

Oprah knows she's fat and says so, and keeps trying to lose weight.

Oh, and Jan Perry is fat so she knows one when she sees one, and wants to ban fast food in the hood so there won't be so many fat people. And she's not afraid to say it, either.

Fat is bad. It leads to diabetes, hypertension, organ failures and lots of lesser evils from varicose veins to higher cholesterol.

Fat is not good.

Be afraid of the fat.

Do not attack people who call fat fat. It's fat losers who see more into it than there is.

January 03, 2008 5:30 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

1:22a -- Ah, yet another guerilla strike by the JackHoffian Army!

I guess we're different. We kill you with kindness...

January 03, 2008 8:50 PM  

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