Mayor Sam Exclusive: Team Huizar's CD 14 Survey Analysis, "we feel it is critical that Martinez be framed early as an unworthy candidate"
Mayor Sam has received a copy of the CD 14 Survey Analysis (ie, push poll) conducted by Fairbanks, Maslin, Maulin, Metz & Associates. This poll was cited early on by Team Huizar, as showing the six-year councilperson having a commanding advantage over his challenger Rudy Martinez.
But as the details within the analysis note, the re-election of Councilman Huizar is not a sure thing. Key points in the analysis include,
* Only 25% of voters survey say they will "definitely" vote for Councilman Huizar. (page 1)
* "This election must be a choice between the two candidates and not a referendum on the incumbent". (page 2)
* Looking at Eagle Rock and Glassell Park, we can see some likelihood of Huizar losing in both areas and the possibility of more narrow margins in El Sereno and Highland Park. (page 7)
* 71% of voters said that Huizar's vote against "making DWP bureaucrats more accountable to the public" was a convincing reason to vote against him. (page 5)
* The impact of the negative messages nullifies all of Martinez vote gains. (page 7)
Reading through the analysis and comparing the survey questions with the later attacks by Team Huizar on Rudy Martinez, one can easily see that "going negative" was an essential part of Team Huizar's plan to blunt the challenge of Martinez.
Other CD 14 Campaign News:
** LA Weekly's David Futch details Mayor Sam's role in the "Blogger Field Day in Huizar vs. Martinez".
** Los Angeles Times David Zahniser finds gray matter in getting at the root of Councilman Jose Huizar and challenger Rudy Martinez's animosity.
Read the rest of the report after the jump.
Scott Johnson in CD 14
Labels: "COUNCILMAN LAST SEEN AS JOSE HUIZAR", Outtakes from CD 14, Rudy Martinez
Posted by Red Spot in CD 14 @ 3/03/2011 09:34:00 AM
27 Comments:
Scott,
THIS is important information.
However, because you have blogged about this subject 15x a time, every day, for weeks, people probably have tuned you out.
PLEASE try to reserve your hysterics for IMPORTANT things like this, so that you can get proper attention when it's called for, instead of over silly things.
Well-stated 9:49am.
Holy Shit
This kind of blows the cover off your buddies' Mulholland Terrace and Valley Doll's strategy, ehh fatso?
LUV yuh!
If this is a legitimate document (and the series of weird typos in it call that into question) then someone in the Martinez campaign has likely hacked into an email account and stolen it. That would be a serious federal felony subjecting someone to wire fraud, computer fraud and identity theft charges -- and some serious jail time.
Hahahahahaha, these Pro Jose cronies have such a man crush on Jose they start thinking of super complicated political plots to try to figure out how documents have leaked the entire campaign.
Hahahahaha, to 10:50 AM, yes Mayor Sam or the Martinez Campaign must have hired Russian Hackers to hack City Hall computers and they stole the documents. Hahahahaha, maybe, it also might be possible that everyone and their mothers, who has ever met Jose and his cronies laughs at them and have no respect for them and since he has the highest employment turn over of any employer ever, maybe just maybe, someone in his office just walked over to Mayor Sam and just gave it to him and every other blogger because they felt ashamed of ever working for Jose as an act of repentance. I would list names of potential document leakers, but that would include everyone in Jose's office, including Jose, I don't even think he respects himself so he might have leaked the documents out of self pity.
Ah, here's the beginning of the end...
The FINAL death knell of the anti-Huizar clot of misfits here at Mayor Sam's, "leaking" internal documents from a campaign that has already won, in the interest of what...? Looking "smarter" than the vast majority that will re-elect Huizar in just exactly 5 days?
Enjoy. Feel "smart" -- or whatever. Huizar's still the CD14 councilmember, in the end, for another 4 years. Enough have voted already (absentee) and the rest won't be deterred by this spinning minor-league malarkey.
(BTW, this PALES in comparison to the nasty push Poll Rudy Rich's people tried to pull off... and FAILED to even make useable in his contrarian campaign). Where are the results of THAT polling?? (Buried in the backyard of some repo house Rudy will be flipping for a living, starting next Wed.)
HERE, I now "reveal" Rudy's strategy after his OWN self-inflicted polling showed he had a 99 percent chance of LOSING big-time...
"OH hell, I PAID tons of money for a push poll that shows that all my PAST loans to the campaign are money down the crapper? I can't win, in any case? What can be done? Let's STEAL Huizar's poll and try to show that IT shows that I may have one small chance in hell if people can just ignore for the duration of the campaign that Huizar is running against ME, a completely unqualified, clueless wannabe."
"we feel it is critical that Martinez be framed early as an unworthy candidate"
DOH!
Geez, isn't that like "framing" the Mona Lisa as a picture of a woman in a dress.
How hard can THAT be!
12:26 p.m.
Nice of Rudy to be so clueless about his own disastrous baggage, making it easy for Huizar's handlers to show him to be completely unworthy.
Arrogant of him to think that all his MONEY would wash away the stink of his past on-record (and even on-TV) indiscretions.
In this case, painting a picture of Rudy as "unworthy" was a simple paint-by-numbers job any child (except Turd-jillo) could manage.
All the Huizar campaign had to do was produce PUBLIC RECORDS of Rudy's past.
No rumor, no innuendo, no "faked" investigations.
Just the facts, Ma'am!
Tomato - Tomah-to
You say "going negative" against Rudy Rich.
I say telling the truth about his past, and spotlighting the Glendale Republican's lack of qualifications to do the job.
EITHER way, the outcome is the same.
BUH-bye Rudy Rich. Thanks for wasting 1/4-million of your own money.
And hey, why not CLEAN UP one of those dirty alleys on your way back to Glendale -- as a VOLUNTEER!
That's how WE do it in the district, rather than bitch and moan about how there's no money, or they money is being spent somewhere else that's also needed.
But we also KNOW, Reed Spit that even if someone sent you the Martinez campaign's "poll" of CD14 voters - the one that called Huizar everything by a serial killer - that you'd NEVER release that one, because it would be so very obvious that Huizar will win, even from that.
But, just for "yucks" - ask the challenger's campaign for a copy, RS.
C'mon, why not? Just ask? What could it hurt?
All they're gonna say is NO! (and then we'll ALL know I'm right).
YET another "Mayor Sam's" (commentor's) EXCLUSIVE - like noticing before ETHICS did, that Nick Pacheco's law firm was laundering money to Rudy Rich's campaign.
Here it is! RUDY KNOWS HE'S LOST, and is getting on with his life:
http://www.theeastsiderla.com/2011/03/eagle-rock-condo-project-gets-a-vote-of-confidence-from-council-candidate/
(Local realtor tells Eastside blog that Martinez has a bid in for more business property in Eagle Rock in the same building where his campaign office now is).
NOW, since a sitting councilmember would have to DIVEST all business holdings (as Rudy himself mentioned at a forum, saying he would have to sell "Mia Sushi" and "Marty's" if elected), why would someone who thinks he "might" be elected to Council in less than a week be trying to BUY MORE business property?
He wouldn't, because he DOESN'T "think" (in fact he KNOWS by now that he won't be elected next Tuesday).
Thanks for admitting what we've all known for months, Rudy Rich.
And . . . BUH-BYE!
For more proof that Rudy knows that his sushi is cooked: his campaign has not sent out a mailing since 2/23.
1:47 p.m.
They're out of money.
Rudy Rich said he was "prepared" to go $250K, he's given $200K and stopped.
He sees the handwriting on the wall.
This CD won't be "flipped" his way; better to bail now.
Eastern Group Publications (most widely circulated weekly in CD14) endorses HUIZAR for re-election:
http://egpnews.com/?p=23793
Cites Martinez as having NO CLUE.
APPLAUDS Huizar for his USE OF CLARTS FUNDS!
"We were disappointed that after nearly a year on the campaign trail Martinez had not become better versed on a number of complex issues facing the district and the city, not the least of which is the budget deficit and how he would tackle it."
"Some might consider some of [Huizar's CLARTS] expenditures frivolous, given the city’s financial straits. But if you ask the young people who have attended after-school programs, or cheerleaders who have attended competitions they were unable to pay for themselves, or students learning new skills at the Boyle Heights Technology Center that were paid for in part with CLARTS funds, we think they would disagree. Many in the district have told us they believe these types of expenditures address quality of life issues in the district. So do we."
Hoooooo, ha!
So the publications CLOSEST to Cd14 and what matters here (LADN, La Opinion, EGP), have endorsed Huizar.
The WESTSIDE and elitist downtown elements (LA Times, maybe the WEAKly later?), have endorsed Martinez.
That about covers it. Explains all.
This is pretty humiliating for Jose, hard to spin this one.
So the pollster is telling to Huizar to attack Rudy, while Huizar is pushing the clean campaign line?
So which one is it, Hypocrisy or Stupidity?
Wow EGP has endorsed Huizar!
Clearly that will decide this race, as we know they are on top of their shit.
4:31
You're joking, right?
Were you born yesterday, or are you just a poster child for arrested development?
This is how EVERY campaign in the U.S. is mapped out.
Rudy Rich's people did EXACTLY the same kind of strategizing... They just apparently don't have a "mole" leaking it out (who's about to get BUSTED!).
4:38
In just about FIVE MORE DAYS, you'll see that is was neither.
While Rudy M. packs his bags to move back to Glendale, you can then reflect on just how it worked.
Only 25% of voters survey say they will "definitely" vote for Councilman Huizar. (page 1)
That early in the campaign, no surprise. Most people aren't willing to be locked in before they see their options, and at that point in time, Martinez was just a name, and unknown to most voters. Probably many survey respondents first hear about him THROUGH the survey.
The question is, how many would have "definitely" voted for Martinez at that same point?
One (1).
NO, not one PERCENT, just ONE person.
(Red Spot!)
4:42
Funny, EGP has the best track record of any Eastside publication in picking CD14 winners, since Alatorre's time.
Suck on that!
The City is in a total mess and the only way out of it is to not elect the same bunch who either got us into it or are unable to get us out of it. I am not impressed by either candidate but in all honesty, Huizar is not delivering, whatever the EGP endorsements says.
Knowing the history of this City, the incumbents will win and we will go further down the drain.
This is just speculation, of course, but I think The Times knows something about Huizar's future that the EGP and the Downtown News doesn't. I don't think these small newspapers have contacts with the FBI.
So, in my opinion, Huizar wins but some time in the near future must step down.
Martinez has my VOTE!
You Huizar guys are a joke. Yeah your candidate will win - as if you had anything to do with it. Now you're hear typing the praises of EGP? Do you guys know who and what EGP is? Local high school papers have better publications.
EGP endorsed Huizar becuase Huizar bought the most ad space - that is the only reason. And yes, in the past, since Alatorre - the person that spends the most wins - so it is easy for EGP to look at thier books and pick the candidate of their "choice" - the one that keeps the lights on. And EGP didn't pick Pacheco in '99.
Enjoy your victory but Huizar better start looking into private practice. Unlike Pacheco, a lot of the investigations out there are going to stick - Pacheco didn't have 53 vengeful staffers lining the halls of the FBI or DA offices.
I ENDORSE RUDY MARTINEZ I THINK HE IS A BREATH OF FRESH AIR FOR THIS COMMUNITY. HUIZAR HAS PLAYED POLITICAL BALL LONG ENOUGH THIS COMMUNITY NEEDS SOMEONE WHO WILL FOCUS ON JOBS,BUSINESS AND HOW TO SAVE MONEY. HUIZAR IS THE REASON WERE IN THIS MESS.HUIZAR WILL CONTINUE TO PLAY WITH HIS COMMUNITY FOR POLIICAL GAIN. RUDY WILL NOT. I LIKE UNDERDOGS THEY ARE THE ONE WHO EVERYONE SHOULD VOTE FOR. I DON'T WAIT UNTIL ALL THE BAD IDEAS ARE DROPPED IN PEOPLE LAPS TO SAY I DON'T LIKE OR AGREE, I ADDRESS WHAT I SEE AS A ON GOING PROBLEM IN LOS ANGELES TOO MANY PEOPLE SICKING WITH STATUS QUO HOPING FOR CHANGE IT DOESN'T HAPPEN THAT WAY. ONLY YOUR VOTE WILL CHANGE THE CYCLE.
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