Texas Hold 'Em
Hillary will win Ohio, though the fiasco in Cleveland will make things entertaining. But in Texas...
See for yourself, or keep tuning in here. If you're curious and on the net for a while, you can get results at the Houston Chronicle's home page. Or, if you can take the place, DailyKos, where' they'll continue to post updates until night-night time.
UPDATE XII (4:17 pst): Final toll, Obama wins Harris County handily, which could spell trouble for Hillary in Pennsylvania---but who will even remember, it's seven weeks away...
UPDATE XI (9:57 pst): Clears throat...ahem...yesterday: "Word on the ground is that it's Hillary by 5+% in Texas (actually 3.2) and Hillary by more in Ohio." Clears throat again...ahem ahem...Tuesday morning: "From this perch: Hillary in three of four."
UPDATE X (9:21 pst): special Republican irrelevancy update: failed unknown candidate Duncan Hunter will win more GOP votes in TX than failed former contender candidate Rudy Giuliani.
UPDATE IX (9:15 pst): Suggestion to Obama: get rid of Axelrod. He was utterly pwned by Wolfson on This Week last Sunday and he made a fool of himself again tonight.
UPDATE VIII (9:10 pst): As you know: seven goddamn weeks until Pennsylvania.
UPDATE VII (9:04 pst): Why DailyKos is pure party propaganda.
UPDATE VI (9:00 pst): 54% in and Hillary's lead is widening to 50,000+ (2+%) votes even as Harris County continues to be held back. Hillary's speech: she thinks she's won the nomination. Obama's speech: his first stupid speech of his presidential candidate career, maybe proving Hillary right.
UPDATE V (8:47 pst): For the past twenty percentage points, Obama has trailed by 16,000 votes, not much less and not much more. But with 48% reporting, Obama suddenly drops another percent. Harris County still stuck at 14%.
UPDATE IV (8:31 pst): Former Fishwrap of Record in town is again offering not much. "By breaking her long losing streak with a hard-fought victory inOhio , Hillary Rodham Clinton has stalled rival Barack Obama 's momentum toward the Democratic presidential nomination. // But by no means has Clinton fully recovered from her month of lopsided defeats -- even if she also turns out to have won today in Texas , where results were not yet known." But will be in two hours. Meanwhile, blogs have gone silent, maybe taking in a Malibu sea breeze.
UPDATE III (8:23 pst): Harris County now reporting 15% and Obama still has an absurd 20% lead there. Simple explanation: AA precincts reporting, Latino precincts (which outnumber them 2-1) not yet. Looks to favor Hillary more than Obama.
UPDATE II (8:17 pst): CNN is trying to look like the Wonk Central Station it was in 2004, but those County maps are useless. They are getting results in front of everyone else, though. Hillary up by a legit but single percent with 35% reporting. A couple of lefty blogs are calling an Obama victory...not me.
UPDATE (7:57 pst): With 24% reporting, only 396 votes (out of almost a million five) separate the candidates. Still only 2% of Harris County reporting---from whence over 10% of the votes from all of TX will come.
See for yourself, or keep tuning in here. If you're curious and on the net for a while, you can get results at the Houston Chronicle's home page. Or, if you can take the place, DailyKos, where' they'll continue to post updates until night-night time.
UPDATE XII (4:17 pst): Final toll, Obama wins Harris County handily, which could spell trouble for Hillary in Pennsylvania---but who will even remember, it's seven weeks away...
UPDATE XI (9:57 pst): Clears throat...ahem...yesterday: "Word on the ground is that it's Hillary by 5+% in Texas (actually 3.2) and Hillary by more in Ohio." Clears throat again...ahem ahem...Tuesday morning: "From this perch: Hillary in three of four."
UPDATE X (9:21 pst): special Republican irrelevancy update: failed unknown candidate Duncan Hunter will win more GOP votes in TX than failed former contender candidate Rudy Giuliani.
UPDATE IX (9:15 pst): Suggestion to Obama: get rid of Axelrod. He was utterly pwned by Wolfson on This Week last Sunday and he made a fool of himself again tonight.
UPDATE VIII (9:10 pst): As you know: seven goddamn weeks until Pennsylvania.
UPDATE VII (9:04 pst): Why DailyKos is pure party propaganda.
UPDATE VI (9:00 pst): 54% in and Hillary's lead is widening to 50,000+ (2+%) votes even as Harris County continues to be held back. Hillary's speech: she thinks she's won the nomination. Obama's speech: his first stupid speech of his presidential candidate career, maybe proving Hillary right.
UPDATE V (8:47 pst): For the past twenty percentage points, Obama has trailed by 16,000 votes, not much less and not much more. But with 48% reporting, Obama suddenly drops another percent. Harris County still stuck at 14%.
UPDATE IV (8:31 pst): Former Fishwrap of Record in town is again offering not much. "By breaking her long losing streak with a hard-fought victory in
UPDATE III (8:23 pst): Harris County now reporting 15% and Obama still has an absurd 20% lead there. Simple explanation: AA precincts reporting, Latino precincts (which outnumber them 2-1) not yet. Looks to favor Hillary more than Obama.
UPDATE II (8:17 pst): CNN is trying to look like the Wonk Central Station it was in 2004, but those County maps are useless. They are getting results in front of everyone else, though. Hillary up by a legit but single percent with 35% reporting. A couple of lefty blogs are calling an Obama victory...not me.
UPDATE (7:57 pst): With 24% reporting, only 396 votes (out of almost a million five) separate the candidates. Still only 2% of Harris County reporting---from whence over 10% of the votes from all of TX will come.
Barack Obama | 711,579 | 47.3% | |
Hillary Clinton | 711,183 | 47.2% |
Posted by Joseph F. Mailander @ 3/04/2008 07:47:00 PM
9 Comments:
Hillary's speaking right now like she's won the nomination.
She has won. It's good to see Obama starting to fall apart under pressure and showing what he's made of, and to watch his smug supporters do the same. Whenever they say they picked him because "he looks like America," like Garcetti and Maria Shriver did, I want to barf -- what a shallow P C "reason" to choose a President.
Didn't she say we just hung another negro in Texas?
No her husband probably said that. You must have them confused.
What a great night for Hillary! I cannot pull myself away from CNN. It's 3 AM and I must, even though this is historical and one day I'll be glad I stayed up all night.
Ohio - HC 54%, BO 44%
Rhode Island - HC 58%, BO 40%
Texas - HC 51%, BO 47% and for that I owe a big THANK YOU to my old friend, Michael Trujillo!
Thank you Michael for kicking ASS in Texas. You know your responsibilities, that's for sure. You know how to get the job done.
I hope she's taking you to Pittsburgh.
"Thank you Michael for kicking ASS in Texas. You know your responsibilities, that's for sure. You know how to get the job done.
I hope she's taking you to Pittsburgh."
Vegas just called. They said the odds that Michael just patted himself on his own back is 100%. Is there anyone else on the planet who would chime in on that angle?
Mayor Villaraigosa and some other Cali Mexican Americans worked there magic in Texas for Hillary, Tony's made some points.
Clinton WIll Take Nomination and Choose Obama As VP (Sorry Kiddies!)
I know it has been exciting to watch Barack Obama create so much excitment across the country this campaign season as such an excellent public speaker. And his campaign sure must have done a great job to take on the notorious Clinton campaign machine that is known to chew up and spit out anything that gets in its way.
But she won Ohio and Texas, and I think the new car smell on Obama is about to fade.
Here's why I think Hillary will take the nomination (and I do use the word "take", not "win"): Barack may have more delegates, but Hillary has hit her tone this past week and looks like a momentum candidate, herself, now. If she had been this good from day one, she never would have been in this mess.
But how can the Democratic National Convention give it to Hillary, if Barack has more delegates? Between now and then, the issue of, "who is ready on the first day/no time for on the job training" will be a big issue. Especially against John Mccain.
And she won Ohio, so they will say the Democrats need her for that pivotal swing state. (Plus Texas and all those other big states.) The Clinton campaign will probably be able to weasel the early Michigan and Florida primary votes that will favor Clinton.
But here's the main thing: In big, bureaucratic situations like corporations or national elections...the young, new, optimistic, momentum "people's choice" genre never makes it through in the first round.
For example, this reminds me of when alternative rock came out. Mainstream radio rejected it, even though all the kids were listening to it. Then, at the risk of having these people hate you for NOT playing alternative, you reluctantly are stuck adding a few alternative songs, because you don't want to alienate these people, but you would NEVER hand over the keys to the radio station and go "all alternative".
So although no one is completely happy -- the people who don't like alternative rock with their bubble gum pop are stuck with some new neighbors on the playlist...and although the alternative rockers wish it was ALL alternative rock...they are happy that their genre is finally getting the respect it deserves with at least some airplay. (In other words, you gotta be happy with Barack as VP and consider it a victory.)
In other words...even though Barack is the popular new genre, right now. With Hillary winning Ohio and Texas, it is going to be a lot harder for the Democratic party to hand the keys over to Barack with the nomination. (Going all alternative rock). So they will give it to Hillary, she will put Barack on the ticket as VP.
It's like when Celine Dion and Mariah Carey had big comeback hits, just as alternative rock was about to wipe all pop music off the map.
So, Barack will come out to all the disappointed masses who will be so disenfranchised they will probably never vote again and say, "Look, I went from Freshman Senator to a neck and neck race for the nomination with Hillary Clinton, who served as first lady for eight years. That's a lot of name recognition, service and history to catch up with. So this is not a defeat for all the people who supported me, but a victory.
Because now I can serve as Vice President, under the most experienced administration ever to walk into the White House on day one. It would have been nice for us to waltz into the White House first time out, like this. But it takes a while for the rest of the system to be ready to embrace that change. So it's a dream come true for us to be in this position, as the Vice Presidential candidate, and we'll be working hard to create the change to pave the way for next time.
Steely Dan, Herbie Hancock, Bob Dylan and old veteran groups always seem to upset the Grammy's when people feel the young, hot and hip artist is a lock. It's called "Kanye West Syndrome" and the Barack fans should know that's the way it goes.
Metallica may have lost the "Heavy Metal" Grammy to Jethro Tull earlier on in their career...because it takes a while for "new" to filter into the mainstream. But Metallica had their day, all in good time.
So although Barack may have better numbers than Hillary...the older, more conservative powers that be will kill a complete victory for Obama and his fans, at least they get a few songs on the radio station. And next time, the General Manager will/comfortable to give them a station of their own.
So yes, ZD feels that they will still give it to Clinton, even though Barack is like Nirvana when alternative rock got hot...and she will have to give him the VP slot, even though I'm sure she doesn't want to, because at some point, you gotta play Pearl Jam on your radio station when "Jeremy" just won every MTV Video Music Award or you end up pissing everyone off.
To 6:23 AM:
I am not Michael. We've not even always worked on the same campaign. But a job done well deserves congratulations and I congratulate him. You're all not so warped that you really believe everyone in town dislikes him, are you?
That's why I miss Zuma. You are so right. I don't care how she gets it as long as she gets it.
-Hillary Supporter
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