Fundraising Notes
Parks raised a bunch of cash which no one in LA expected, and Jim Hahn spent nearly two-thirds of the money he raised this period on legal fees (he raised just over $36,000 and spent $22,695 on attorneys Manatt, Phelps & Phillips L.L.C.). Hahn's legal defense fund is over $16,500 in the hole. Seems like all those special interests that usually jump to his defense aren’t willing to save him this time.
I'm sure we'll get the usual dogfight of spin out of the various camps this morning, but these were my first takes..
Stories in the Daily News and LA Times
Posted by Anonymous @ 1/28/2005 09:20:00 AM
12 Comments:
So is Troy Edwards going to point the finger at Tim McOsker? Or did McOsker's setting up the sinecure with Contreras buy Edwards off?
Either way, we'll find out soon. Here's why. The US Attorney indicted Stodder first in part to encourage Edwards to cooperate. If Edwards decided to sing, then the US Attorney is preparing their indictment as I type and it won't be long before they drop it -- not much homework needed beyond Edwards' sworn testimony. But if Edwards clams up, the US Attorney already has what they need to indict him. So all the City Hall staffers who are praying for the next indictment to come after March 8 are praying for a miracle. No wonder Hahn's fundraising has dried up.
I wonder if the mayor will pay for Edwards' legal fees out of the Hahn legal defense fund.
I doubt it.
Looks like Parks is raising just enough to make sure Hahn gets next to none of the black vote. And without the black vote, Hahn doesn't make the runoff. He barely made the runoff last time getting 60 percent of the black vote. He's not getting 60 percent now...
If you read the papers today you'll see that Hahn has "Sweet Alice" a loved and very active African American who is supporting Hahn. Bitter Bernie has burned major bridges in his district. The blacks aren't supporting him. Why haven't the people who came out to support him when his butt was getting canned by Hahn for Chief come out? That should tell you a whole lot. Bitter Bernie is not liked because his people say he doesn't relate to them wearing his $1,000 suits and acting arrogant. They can't stand his wife Bobbi and say she's done more harm and created a monster. He speaks down to them like another person we know named Antonio.
Actually, according to the LA Times exit poll, Hahn got 71 percent of the black vote in 2001. His strongest competition was Villaraigosa, who got 12 percent.
In 2005, I think it's safe to say that Villaraigosa will build on the 12 percent he got last time. And it's hard to imagine how Parks doesn't get a plurality, even if he doesn't match the 71 percent Hahn got last time. Any way you look at it, Hahn doesn't come close to matching the support he got in 2001.
Say Parks gets 40 percent of the black vote, Antonio gets 20 percent, Hertzberg and Alarcon together get 10. That leaves 30 for Hahn. If he only got 30 percent of the black vote in 2001, he would have lost to Soboroff. And not only does Hahn have to worry about losing black support, but he has to worry about the Valley, too.
So where is he going to make it up?
Call it spin if you want, but these are the facts. Villaraigosa is on fire.
RAISED 1/1/05 - 1/22/05
AV $92,707
JH $36,100
BH $42,935
RAISED 10/1/04 - 1/22/05
AV $749,017
JH $508,263
BH $514,634
Some additional facts:
AV now has $110,000 more COH than Hertzberg.
AV still has $127,000 in outstanding matching funds. Bob has 0 in outstanding matching funds.
Bob has $114,767 in unpaid bills (accrued expenses). Antonio has 0 in accrued expenses.
This means that right now, Antonio effectiviely has $351,000 more to spend than Hertzberg.
All the solipsistic punditry about Antonio losing momemtum notwithstanding, Antonio is substantially ahead of his fundraising pace in 2001 - despite getting into the race several months later.
Yet missing from Antonio's reports are ton's of overhead expenses we all know you have, but aren't being reported yet. Maybe it is all your city funded cars, phones, schedulers, staff and other crap you are stealing from the tax payers and taking advantage of
I have a better idea where some of that campaign money Antonio is reporting coming from. He still has a couple hundred thousand left over from previous campaign. He spet $500,000 on Measure A but then didn't someone post he has something like $800,000 somewhere? He's giving away to organizations outside his district. HMMMMMMM wonder if some of that money somehow is finding it's way back to his campaign? Are there any researchers out there?
Antonio is going out of town again missing city council next week. Latino forum to feature Los Angeles City Council member
Ruben Hernandez
The Business Journal
A new forum for Latino issues will debut on Feb. 2 with a talk from Los Angeles City Councilman Antonio Villaraigosa, a former candidate for L.A. mayor
You weren't expecting him to be in the district were you? Because you'll be real disappointed if you were.
Parks has the highest homicide stats in his district and look what the WAVE printed this week. There's a gun shop right in his area. Botach Tactical is a state-licensed and city-contracted bulk gun supply business in operation on the corner of Crenshaw Boulevard and 43rd Place, it was learned this week. Botach said he is an international arms dealer with a government contract and that everything he does at his Crenshaw store is legal,” Moore said.
Are we commenting on the post or just piling on?
Let's stay on topic here.
Its interesting that in the last period, the only candidates Mayor Hahn raised more money than was Alarcon and Walter. That can't be good.
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