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Friday, February 16, 2007

Good News! Millions More Moving Here!

By Walter Moore, Chief Economist, L.A. Policy Institute.

According to one or two guys in Palo Alto calling themselves "Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy," in the next 10 years, Southern California will have an additional 1.1 million jobs, 2.2 million residents, and more than 800,000 households. (This may be part of the reason these guys live in up in Palo Alto.)

The Daily News recounted their findings and, naturally, worked in a quotation from faux economist and developer spokes-cheerleader Jack Keyser.

I will say this for the Palo Alto guys: at least they have degrees in economics. Jack, you may be interested to know that Yale, M.I.T. and several other colleges are offering courses online for free.

Apparently the Palo Alto counting on Baby Boomers to die or move away. As the Daily News puts it: "The next 10 years will bring dramatic population changes as baby boomers approach retirement ages."

None of the people mentioned in the article discusses the possibility of enforcing existing zoning laws or taking other action to divert the 2.2 million would-be new "residents" to other locations, much less the possibility that the higher density, taxes, etc. could drive valuable people out of the region altogether transform the region into a massive Third World disaster area.

Nope, the view from Palo Alto -- a low density, low-rise, pricey enclave surrounded by similar villages like Los Gatos, San Carlos, Belmont, etc. -- the view from up there looks great. The more people who move here, the more developers who live elsewhere can profit by converting our low-rise city into an endless series of giant apartment complexes.


Anonymous Anonymous said:

Yes that's brilliant. We can wish the growth away by zoning enforcement.

THEY ARE COMING, people, there will be 2.2 million more people in California in the next 20 years. It's not like they are all rushing over the border - 70% of that is organic growth (ie birthrate).

You can't zone them away, you can only plan smarter.

February 16, 2007 10:16 AM  

Blogger Walter Moore said:

If you had ever lived anywhere else, or read about the subject, you would realize how easy it is to avoid ultra dense housing and high-rises. Here are a few examples for you: Rome, London, Paris, Washington, D.C.

The number and size of buildings in an area is up to the people who make and enforce the laws, period. Extrapolating past figures on population growth is merely that: extrapolation. It is not fate, it is not inevitable. Density is a decision, not a law of physics.

February 16, 2007 10:24 AM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

the best way to solve this problem is to ban home depot

February 16, 2007 10:33 AM  

Blogger Walter Moore said:


February 16, 2007 10:38 AM  

Blogger Zuma Dogg said:

Walter Moore,

Hellz Yeah! We must be on the same side of the issue cause I loved your commentary of the issue.

February 16, 2007 1:20 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Walter Mercado,
Stupendous news.

You will experience the City of Los Angelitos welcome an increase in street vendors.

Did you @@ how many illegal vendors took away customers from legit businesses?

February 16, 2007 1:52 PM  

Blogger Mayor Sam said:

Great idea ZD - Maybe we should merge Antonio Watch (the blog) with We Clean Your Toilets. Two great teams watching the Mayor. And yes AW himself is more than welcome to join the blog - send me an email address and I will hook you up.

February 16, 2007 3:21 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Absurd! Leave it to "experts" with their own hidden agendas to complicate the simple.

100 housing units with 200 tenants/buyers shopping = 100 ultimately go away to some other location...unless they want to live on the sidewalk in a tent.

Family outgrows house, they stack 'em up and live with it (eventually the excess WILL move out) or move to wherever larger, affordable housing can be found.

But the plans of greed and manipulation WILL backfire...they will NOT remain far away and safe forever. The plan for a huge, cheap, disposable dark and mixed labor pool will produce their destroyers. The basic, unchangeable nature of violence and ignorance of their creations will not be contained.

The flood is moving out, the race wars are already beginning and they will only escalate. Even plans to evacuate to other countries will avail them nothing. They have created a global mess that will consume them. Their god is their belly and they and their masters are on the downslide to a living hell here and an eternity in hell when they are dispatched from this veil of tears.

Judgment day is on the way boys. Prepare!


February 16, 2007 7:39 PM  

Blogger Walter Moore said:

Belated thanks, Zuma.

February 16, 2007 7:58 PM  

Anonymous Anonymous said:

Jon is expelled!!!


February 16, 2007 8:27 PM  

Blogger Walter Moore said:

The foregoing "Jon is expelled" was apparently posted by the Tamar Galatzan campaign. She is clearly one of Villaraigosa's shills, insofar as her website shows him standing behind her -- maybe not the greatest photo-op for the readers of this website.

The video simply states that Lauritzen was "absent" from unspecified meetings. It would be more convincing if it showed he missed, say, LAUSD votes, as opposed to some neighborhood gathering of five people. It would also be nice if Galatzan provided some specifics of what she would do if elected.

February 16, 2007 9:37 PM  

Blogger Officer Malloy said:

Hey Walter! The horse left the barn a long time ago. Maybe you should think about moving up to Idaho with the rest of us retired police officers. We live pretty well up here since Mayor Sam took care of us. Too bad the current mayor doesn't take care of LAPD. He's too busy paying off DWP and his friends.

February 16, 2007 10:01 PM  

Blogger Walter Moore said:

Thanks. Idaho is beautiful, but way too cold for me.

February 17, 2007 5:12 PM  

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