Can a Victory by 43rd Assembly District Candidate Sunder Ramani spark a Republican Revival in Sacramento?
For voters in the 43rd Assembly District on this Saturday morning, lets start this post by taking a moment to consider the heavy loads that your neighborhood postal person will be dragging around in the next couple of days. Campaign fliers, most likely printed in union shops, will attempt to sway you in considering the positives of the democratic choices to replace Paul Krekorian in Sacramento.
But those positive accolades will also be matched by negative hit pieces which have become the hallmark of the democratic slug fest, as the respective consultants (Parke Skelton and Eric Hacopian) duel it out on the behalf of their respective clients.
But with less than 72 hours remaining to when polling places open, the positive, inclusive message of Republican Candidate Sunder Ramani, is growing in support and garnering attention to a possible "Senator Scott Brown" like result in the 43rd Assembly District.
As we have noted in our previous posts regarding the 43rd Assembly District Special Election, the hard-edge campaigning by the democratic candidates only makes the positive message of Republican Sunder Ramani more appealing to voters.
Now for the sake of clarification, I am using the "Republican" only because of his designation via the Cal Access website at the Secretary of State Office in Sacramento, but Ramani is invoking an inclusive message that crosses partisan lines and is resulting in support from Democrats and Independents, in addition to Republicans.
But what will Ramani need in the next few days in order to replace Paul Krekorian? here are some quick bits on that.
** First, replicate what Paul Krekorian did in CD 2 by garnering the support of true community leaders. So far Ramani is showcasing an impressive list of community members who have endorse his campaign.
** Second, assemble a campaign team that engenders support and gets out the message. This team is being led by City Attorney Carmen Trutanich Campaign Consultant John Thomas, who crafted the resounding victory over Jack Weiss. One should note here that Ramani is front and center in promoting his campaign team, compare to the other candidates who keep their campaign teams in the shadows.
** Third, stay on the positive. While the three democrats in this race punch and claw their way to election day, Ramani with his "Growing Main Street", "Less Regulation", "Better Education" and holding all in Sacramento accountable for their actions message, will sell to a disgruntled electorate.
** Fourth, get out the neighborhood walkers. Ramani strong community ties are his best asset. Venture out and use your prestige within the community to get out the vote. Ramani's life story is one that needs to be shared with all. In addition, the Los Angeles County Republican Party under the leadership of Jane Barnett, needs to bring in the activists to pound out a victory in Barnett's home district. This is the first major test of the county party team under Barnett's leadership. A victory for Ramani would go a long way in helping the LA County GOP heal from its recent internal tumult. ** (BTW, the LA County Republicans should have a link to the Ramani's Campaign Website on their homepage)
** Fifth, run against the status quo. Californians have become constricted by an overbearing political culture in Sacramento. Laws like AB 32 and a looming $500 billion unfunded pension time bomb, are an impediments to revitalizing our "local main streets" and their assorted small businesses. Ramani with his self-made business background and common sense solutions, are what is needed in Sacramento.
In retrospect, the voters in the 43rd Assembly District can send a message to Sacramento on Tuesday if they support Sunder Ramani, but what is disappointing at this late moment in the campaign, is the absence of positive dialog among the democratic candidates, this lack of positive message and exchange of ideas, may send political shock waves in the direction of Sacramento on Tuesday.
Your thoughts.......................
Scott Johnson in CD 14
** Reports from the 43rd, are that many volunteers are walking the neighborhoods for Ramani today.
Labels: 43rd Assembly District Special Election, Jane Barnett, LA County GOP, Sunder Ramani
Posted by Red Spot in CD 14 @ 4/10/2010 11:00:00 AM
29 Comments:
I've been saying this all along.
Ramani is going to take this one and it's going to be Scott Brown all over again.
Take a brilliant community leader (Ramani), add an army of motivated volunteers mad as hell at the people screwing them in Sacramento and three bumbling candidates on the other side?
This is Sunder's to lose and with the tight ship he's running that ain't gonna happen.
The republican takes this in June if not before.
Scott -
Your point about the endorsements is especially apt.
Why anyone would show off a list of tired, toxic politicians in this climate is something that always confounded me.
But I guess you can't blame them if that's all they have.
campaign fliers printed in union shops LOL
Ramani is running the type of campaign that people are yearning for. He's positive and solution-oriented. Finally, the right direction in California.
Ramani has a fired up army of volunteers being led by Felicia Tweedy a dynamic and amazing young local Republican who is committed to the cause and is not your stereotype Republican. She has recruited other young people en masse who are fired up by Sunder's message and have been going non-stop.
On the other side most of the work is being done by union troops and others not necessarily personally fired up.
It does look Scott Brown all over again.
If he is elected, does that make him the Top Ramani?
I live in Silver Lake and could not agree with you more. The two best Democratic consultants are about to hand a Democratic seat to the Republicans.
They guys have a serious mean streak.
12:33
What's funny is that the majority of political brochures, even Democratic ones, aren't printed in unio shops. Those fortunate enough to have the union bug just lease it out to mom and pop shops to do all the sweat work while they reap the union price profits. Just track those mailers to thier original print source - it makes a mockery out of the union label yet they all do it.
The negativity in this race is standard Hacopian.
His game plan is always to target and win the vote by mail voters. After that, he turns the race into a blood baths to make sure no one votes on Election Day.
Very cynical, but usually very effective.
The order of the candidates will be
1- Rumani
2- Nahabedyan
3- Gatto
4- Chale
Sunder Ramani will probably do very well. But most likely Nayiri already won this race a few weeks ago with the early voters.
Its a Gatto landslide on Tuesday.
Mike's campaign put out over 200 volunteers in the field today.
Sundar Ramani is your typical political candidate appealing to the masses with vague and pretty sounding ideas. If you claim to be nonpartisan and independent, then why not run as an independent. This guy may be charismatic, but he's just your typical Republican. Which means he will get his ass handed to him in November.
You miss a few things. First, Ramani is going to come in first in the primary because he is the only Republican running against three Democrats. He will then be wiped out by whichever Democrat runs first in the primary. Even if you accepted the argument that he was making an impact, the turnout in June is going to be dramatically higher and there will be no connection between the primary vote and who wins the runoff. Also, John Shallman ran Carmen Trutanich's campaign for City Attorney, not this guy no one has ever heard of and in fact one of Shallman's top supporters Mike Amerian decided not to run on Trutanich's advice that no one could beat out the two frontrunners. Gatto and Nahabedian are tearing each other up and not doing anything to get votes, but they have both agreed to support whomever wins the primary and that will be enough in this district.
If there is a runoff with Nayiri and Sunder it makes no sense for Gatto to go out of his way to support her because he is also on the primary ballot for June.
Also no one is mentioning that Gatto will get most of the Latino vote which trumps the Armenian vote with it being split among two candidates. Armenian turnout is not that great for special elections. Krekorian had to work really hard to get them to turn out but it was not the Armenian vote that helped it it was the white vote in places like Valley Glen, Sunland Tujunga and Studio City.
7:26
Why would Latinos turn out for Gatto, as opposed to either going for the Labor candidate or just staying home?
11:37PM-Mike Gatto
I wonder just how much money the unions have given Ramani. The PPL spent over $750,000 for Trutanich and wasted over $400,000 on Chris Essel. The PPL endoresed this guy so I hope its not the kiss of death to him. Friends say he's a guy for the people. I hope so because with the corrupt politicians we now have we need good guys.
Higbie fucked up the city by endorsing Paul "Glendale" Krekorian.
Don't want that to happen again.
7:26
Whatever your smoking I want some of it.
There will be a run-off, but it will be between Rumani and Gatto, not Nayiri.
And Gatto is not a lock for the Latino vote -- they're too good for him. They see right through his used car salesman act and his slicked back hair. He hasn't been a part of their community since deserted them in the 1980s.
No way Gatto had 200 volunteers in the field. I looked to support him early this month and he couldn't even draw ten. His GOTV was pitiful.
Ramani got all the early voters in this race.
I say he walks with it on Tuesday.
Then Gatto, then Nayiri.
No one mentions Gatto getting the Latino vote because he's not getting it. I've seen his polls and it's not pretty.
Ramani's story resonates with ethnic communities in a way none of the other candidates' does. He lived the American dream and now he's trying to make sure it's stays for all the kids out there like Mike Gatto who are still trying to make their mark.
No way Ramani is wiped out after Tuesday. He's going to take it all in June, if not before.
Voters don't think he's a typical run-of-the-mill republican and they're right. They're sick of the party politics that the dems have been playing this whole race.
Once Ramani comes in first in the primary, voters are going to flock to his message in June.
9:16
Ramani didn't get PPL; Nayiri did. Ramani got the endorsement of Burbank Police, which, uh, is not a great endorsement right now...
Sunder Ramani is the guy we need to help business and families in this district. Go, Sunder!
So it turns out Ramani did not take the seat ... nor even get the most votes. It turns out that Nayiri didn't even win the mail in votes. Mike Gatto got more votes then Ramani and his voting base was split. Sunder has no chance in the June run off and no chance in November. But perhaps he can run a clean friendly campaign anyway so people will continue to like him. We shall see.
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